Week of Apr 23 – 26, 2026

Zurich
Classic
New Orleans

The PGA Tour's only team event is here. TPC Louisiana hosts 74 pairs battling in best-ball and alternate shot. Koepka & Lowry are our outright play, Rai & Theegala the value — and Brown & Clanton are the boom-or-bust longshot we love at +6600.

This Week's Favorites
Zurich Classic 2026
📍 TPC Louisiana · Avondale, LA · Apr 23–26 · $9.5M Purse · Team Event
Fitzpatrick / Fitzpatrick FAV
🇬🇧 Matt & Alex · RBC winner + DP World
+1100
Koepka / Lowry BB PICK
🇺🇸🇮🇪 5× major + 2024 champion
+1475
Novak / Griffin
🇺🇸 Defending champions
+1750
Rai / Theegala VALUE
🇬🇧🇺🇸 Elite stats · +2200
+2200
Brown / Clanton LONGSHOT
🇺🇸 Youth phenoms · +6600
+6600
This Week
TPC Louisiana
|
Par 72 · 7,425 yds
|
Avondale, Louisiana
|
Team Event · $9.5M Purse
|
🌊 Pete Dye · Best-ball & Alt-shot
⚡ Breaking
Matt Fitzpatrick beats Scheffler in RBC Heritage playoff — 4-iron to 13ft on first extra hole seals it  •  Fitzpatrick now 3rd in world rankings — 2 wins in 2026 (Valspar + RBC Heritage) · moving like a major champion  •  Zurich Classic begins Thursday — Koepka & Lowry our pick at +1475 · TPC Louisiana · $9.5M purse  •  🐢 Trundling Turtle: Aaron Rai R1 four-ball matchup bet — stats-backed play at TPC Louisiana  •  Fitzpatrick brothers favored at +1100 — Matt riding massive momentum into team event with brother Alex  •  Blades Brown & Luke Clanton +6600 — BogeyBeats longshot · 18-year-old phenom shot 60 at American Express  •  Rai & Theegala +2200 — our value play · elite approach stats + short game suit TPC Louisiana perfectly  •  Matt Fitzpatrick beats Scheffler in RBC Heritage playoff — 4-iron to 13ft on first extra hole seals it  •  Fitzpatrick now 3rd in world rankings — 2 wins in 2026 (Valspar + RBC Heritage) · moving like a major champion  •  Zurich Classic begins Thursday — Koepka & Lowry our pick at +1475 · TPC Louisiana · $9.5M purse  •  🐢 Trundling Turtle: Aaron Rai R1 four-ball matchup bet — stats-backed play at TPC Louisiana  •  Fitzpatrick brothers favored at +1100 — Matt riding massive momentum into team event with brother Alex  •  Blades Brown & Luke Clanton +6600 — BogeyBeats longshot · 18-year-old phenom shot 60 at American Express  •  Rai & Theegala +2200 — our value play · elite approach stats + short game suit TPC Louisiana perfectly  • 
Latest News
All Stories →
All
Analysis
Results
🏆
RBC Heritage Recap
4-Iron into History: Fitzpatrick's Stunning Shot Beats World No. 1 Scheffler in Harbour Town Playoff

Trailing by one with 209 yards to the flag, Matt Fitzpatrick hit a 4-iron to 13 feet and rolled in birdie to beat Scottie Scheffler in a one-hole playoff. His second win in two months moves him to World No. 3.

BogeyBeats StaffApr 20, 20267 min
🎸
Zurich Preview
Zurich Classic Preview: Koepka & Lowry Our Pick, Brown & Clanton the Longshot at +6600
BogeyBeats StaffApr 21, 20266 min
🏆
Masters Recap
The Rory Republic: McIlroy Wins Back-to-Back Masters, Joins Golf's Most Exclusive Club
BogeyBeats StaffApr 13, 20268 min
🤠
Recap
Spaun Eagles 17 to Win Valero Texas Open — MacIntyre's Birdie Putt on 18 Falls Short
BogeyBeats StaffApr 5, 20265 min
🏆
Recap
Forever Young: Cam Birdies 17, Pipes 375 Yards on 18, Wins THE PLAYERS as Åberg Implodes
Mar 15, 20266 min
Recap
Fitzpatrick's Redemption Arc Complete: Runner-Up at PLAYERS, Champion at Valspar One Week Later
Mar 22, 20265 min
💚
Recap
Courage Over Fear: Gary Woodland Wins Houston Open — Brain Surgery, PTSD, One of Golf's Greatest Comebacks
Mar 29, 20267 min
🔧
Equipment
Scheffler's Driver Tinkering: Why the World No. 1 Finally Ditched His Qi10
Mar 9, 20265 min
BogeyBeats Picks
All Picks →

Our model weights SG: Approach, course history, proximity 150–200 yds, and recent form. Click any card for the full write-up.

⭐ Outright Win
Koepka / Lowry
+1475
A dream team pairing. Koepka leads the Tour in SG: Approach (3rd, +0.913) and has the major clutch gene. Lowry won this exact event in 2024 and knows TPC Louisiana intimately. Their ball-striking combination is elite for alternate shot — the format that separates winners from contenders.
2024 champion LowryKoepka 3rd SG: AppElite alt-shot combo
💰 Value Play
Rai / Theegala
+2200
This pairing is a model match. Aaron Rai leads the Tour in driving accuracy (70.15%) — precision off the tee is critical in alternate shot. Theegala adds fearless birdie-making in four-ball. Their complementary styles are exactly what wins this format, and +2200 is a gift for this profile.
Rai #5 driving accuracyTheegala birdie machinePerfect alt-shot fit
🚀 Longshot
Brown / Clanton
+6600
Blades Brown is 18 years old and shot 60 at the American Express. He has three top-3 finishes in his last five starts. Clanton burst onto the scene as one of golf's most exciting amateurs. Four-ball format is pure birdie-making — exactly where two fearless young guns can go on a run and shock the field.
Brown shot 60 in 2026Four-ball specialistYouth + fearlessness
All
Analysis
Results
🏆
RBC Heritage Recap
4-Iron into History: Fitzpatrick's Stunning Shot Beats World No. 1 Scheffler in Harbour Town Playoff

Trailing by one with 209 yards to the flag, Matt Fitzpatrick hit a 4-iron to 13 feet and drained the birdie putt. His second win in two months. World No. 3.

BogeyBeats StaffApr 20, 20267 min
🎸
Zurich Preview
Zurich Classic Preview: Koepka & Lowry Our Pick, Brown & Clanton the Longshot at +6600
BogeyBeats StaffApr 21, 20266 min
🏆
Masters Recap
The Rory Republic: McIlroy Wins Back-to-Back Masters, Joins Golf's Most Exclusive Club
BogeyBeats StaffApr 13, 20268 min
🏖️
RBC Preview
RBC Heritage Preview: Scheffler Our Pick at Harbour Town, Max Homa the Longshot Play
BogeyBeats StaffApr 14, 20266 min
🌲
Masters Preview
Masters 2026: Scheffler Hunts Third Green Jacket, McIlroy Defends, Åberg Seeks First Major
Apr 7, 20268 min
🤠
Recap
Spaun Eagles 17 to Win Valero Texas Open — MacIntyre's Birdie Putt on 18 Falls Short
Apr 5, 20265 min
💚
Recap
Courage Over Fear: Gary Woodland Wins Houston Open
Mar 29, 20267 min
😱
Analysis
The 54-Hole Curse: Four Straight Leaders Blown — But Woodland Just BROKE It
Mar 29, 20266 min
🏆
Recap
Forever Young: Cam Birdies 17, Pipes 375 Yards on 18, Wins THE PLAYERS as Åberg Implodes
Mar 15, 20266 min
Recap
Fitzpatrick's Redemption Arc: Runner-Up at PLAYERS, Champion at Valspar One Week Later
Mar 22, 20265 min
🏆
Recap
Bold as Arnie: Bhatia Rallies from 5 Down to Beat Berger in Bay Hill Playoff
Mar 8, 20266 min
🔧
Equipment
Scheffler's Driver Tinkering: Why the World No. 1 Finally Ditched His Qi10
Mar 9, 20265 min
💔
Recap
Heartbreak at PGA National: Lowry's Cognizant Collapse Hands Echavarria a Stunning Win
Mar 1, 20266 min
📋
Season Recap
2026 Season So Far: Young, Fitzpatrick, Bhatia — The Florida Swing Delivered
Mar 22, 20265 min
Back to News

🎯 This Week's Picks

1
Koepka/Lowry WIN
Outright · DraftKings
+1475
2
Rai/Theegala VALUE
Outright · DraftKings
+2200
3
Brown/Clanton LONG
Outright · DraftKings
+6600

📅 Up Next

Apr
30
Cadillac Championship ⭐
Trump Doral · Miami, FL
May
14
PGA Championship
Aronimink GC · PA
🏌️ Four-Ball (Rounds 1 & 3 — Thu/Sat)
Both players play their own ball — best score counts. Rewards birdie-making upside. The format where aggressive, explosive players dominate.
🔁 Alternate Shot (Rounds 2 & 4 — Fri/Sun)
Players alternate shots on same ball. Driving accuracy is everything — a missed fairway puts your partner in an unwinnable position.
RNK
Team
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
1
Fitzpatrick / Fitzpatrick 🇬🇧
Matt (RBC winner, World #3) + Alex (DP World Tour winner) · Huge momentum · Proven team
+1100
+1100
+1050
2
Koepka / Lowry 🇺🇸🇮🇪 BB PICK
5× major winner + 2024 Zurich champion · Elite iron play + course knowledge · Dream pairing
+1475
+1500
+1400
3
Novak / Griffin 🇺🇸
Defending champions · Back-to-back attempt · Two PGA Tour wins each in 2025-26
+1750
+1800
+1700
4
Thorbjornsen / Vilips 🇺🇸
Stanford teammates · T4 Zurich in 2025 debut · Strong ball-striking metrics · Chemistry proven
+2100
+2000
+2000
5
Rai / Theegala 🇬🇧🇺🇸 BB VALUE
Rai #5 driving accuracy (70.15%) + Theegala elite birdie maker · Perfect complementary pair
+2200
+2200
+2200
6
Penge / Wallace 🇬🇧
Long + accurate · Marco Penge leads Tour in driving distance · Wallace elite iron play
+2200
+2200
+2200
7
Moore / Clark 🇺🇸
Solid pairing · Clark's power suits TPC Louisiana par-5s · Moore reliable ball-striker
+2200
+2200
+2200
8
Li / Smith 🇨🇳🇦🇺
Haotong Li + Jordan Smith · Birdie-making upside · Interesting pairing at this price
+2200
+2200
+2100
9
Thompson / Eckroat 🇺🇸
Both PGA Tour winners · T10 and T14 at Valero · Strong tee-to-green play
+2400
+2400
+2400
10
McCarty / Meissner 🇺🇸
Consistent duo · McCarty elite putter · Meissner solid tee-to-green game
+2500
+2500
+2500
11
Hughes / Pendrith 🇨🇦
Canadian power pairing · Pendrith long off tee · Hughes veteran TPC Louisiana presence
+2800
+2800
+2800
12
Ventura / Reitan 🇪🇸🇳🇴
European combo · Reitan DP World Tour winner · Ventura solid ball-striker
+2800
+2800
+2800
13
Springer / Smalley 🇺🇸
Smalley 4 top-25s in last 8 events · Springer T18 here in 2025 · Sneaky value
+2800
+2800
+2800
14
Keefer / Brennan 🇺🇸
Ball-striking specialists · May lead field in iron play but struggle to score · Risky
+3000
+3000
+3000
15
Bauchou / Stevens 🇺🇸
Stevens T4 + T24 last two Zurichs · Bauchou strong rookie season · TPC Louisiana experience
+3000
+3000
+3000
16
Yu / Kim 🇰🇷
Si Woo Kim T3 RBC Heritage · Korean power combo · TPC Louisiana birdie upside
+3000
+3000
+3000
17
Mitchell / Snedeker 🇺🇸
Keith Mitchell power + Brandt Snedeker's short game experience · Veteran leadership
+3300
+3300
+3300
18
Finau / Greyserman 🇺🇸
Tony Finau's TPC Louisiana power + Greyserman's precision · Interesting pairing
+3300
+3300
+3300
19
Horschel / Hoge 🇺🇸
Horschel 2× Zurich winner (2013, 2018) · 5 finishes of 13th or better last 6 Zurichs · Experience
+3300
+3300
+3300
20
Hardy / Riley 🇺🇸
2023 Zurich champions · -30 winning score · Past champions returning · Course knowledge edge
+3500
+3500
+3500
21
Ewart / Jarvis 🇬🇧🇿🇦
AJ Ewart 5 top-30s in 7 starts · Casey Jarvis 2 DP World Tour wins in 2026 · Excellent form
+4000
+4000
+4000
22
Hadwin / Svensson 🇨🇦
Hadwin runner-up 2023, T10 2024, T12 2025 · Elite TPC Louisiana course history · Value
+8200
+8200
+8000
23
Brown / Clanton 🇺🇸 BB LONGSHOT
Blades Brown shot 60 at American Express · 3 top-3s in last 5 Korn Ferry starts · Youth + fearlessness
+6600
+7000
+6600

Odds via DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM · Updated Apr 22, 2026. Team event — 74 pairs compete. Best-ball rounds Thu & Sat, alternate shot Fri & Sun. Cut: Top 33 teams after Round 2. Must be 21+. Please bet responsibly. 1-800-GAMBLER.

🧠
How Our Model Works
We combine strokes-gained data from the past 24 rounds with course-specific stats — weighting heavily on SG: Approach and putting on Bermudagrass — then overlay current Vegas lines to identify positive expected value plays.
🎯
THIS WEEK'S PICKS
Active picks for the Zurich Classic of New Orleans at TPC Louisiana. Apr 23–26, 2026. Team event — best-ball & alternate shot.

Zurich Classic — Apr 23–26 🎸

⭐ Outright Win
Koepka / Lowry
+1475
Koepka leads the Tour in SG: Approach (3rd, +0.913) and is one of the elite ball-strikers in the world. Lowry won this exact event in 2024 with McIlroy and knows TPC Louisiana better than almost anyone in the field. Their combination of power approach play and creativity suits alternate shot perfectly.
Lowry 2024 championKoepka 3rd SG: AppMajor clutch genePerfect alt-shot pair
💰 Value Play
Rai / Theegala
+2200
Aaron Rai leads the Tour in driving accuracy (70.15% — 5th on Tour) and is elite at keeping the ball in play, which is what alternate shot demands above all else. Theegala is a relentless birdie maker in four-ball. Their complementary games make them one of the best-constructed pairings in the field at a price that's far too big.
Rai #5 driving accuracyTheegala elite birdie %Complementary styles
🚀 Longshot
Brown / Clanton
+6600
Blades Brown is 18 years old, shot 60 at the American Express, and has three top-3 finishes in his last five Korn Ferry starts. Clanton was one of the most exciting amateurs in recent memory. Four-ball format is pure birdie-making — the exact environment where two fearless young guns can go on a run and steal a tournament.
Brown shot 60 in 20263 top-3s in 5 startsFour-ball specialists
✅ RBC Heritage Results — Just In

RBC Heritage Results — Apr 19 (FINAL) 🏖️

✅ Result — WIN (playoff)
Scottie Scheffler
+600
Scheffler shot 67 in the final round, birdied 15 and 16 to force a playoff, and went toe-to-toe with Fitzpatrick on 18. He lost the playoff when Fitzpatrick hit a stunning 4-iron to 13 feet and drained birdie. A near-miss that any model would take — he played the weekend in bogey-free 11-under golf and pushed the world's hottest player to extra holes.
Playoff ✅ near-winBogey-free weekendModel vindicated
❌ Result — Missed
Russell Henley
+5500
Henley finished T3 at -10, gaining 9.6 strokes on approach over the week — exactly the profile we identified. He didn't win but he contended all week and the pick was completely model-confirmed. The approach stats we flagged were spot on.
T3 ✅ model confirmed9.6 SG: App for week
❌ Result — Missed
Max Homa
+4000
Didn't contend at Harbour Town this week. The approach profile we liked didn't translate into scoring position. Longshot misses are part of the process — Scheffler in a playoff more than covers this one for the week.
No resultPart of the process
⭐ Outright Win
Scottie Scheffler
+600
The world's best player on a course that rewards everything he does well. Harbour Town is a Par-71 Pete Dye precision track — narrow fairways, small greens, premium on iron play. Scheffler's SG: Total has been the best on Tour for three seasons running. He's motivated after Augusta runner-up and the price is fair.
World #1Elite precisionMotivatedCourse fit elite
💰 Value Play
Russell Henley
+5500
Henley has one of the best Harbour Town records in the field — multiple top-10s at this Pete Dye layout and a meticulous, bogey-avoiding style that suits it perfectly. His 2026 ball-striking numbers are quietly elite and he finished T3 at the Masters just last week. The market is sleeping on him at +5500.
Multiple HT top-10sT3 Masters '26Elite bogey avoidance
🚀 Longshot
Max Homa
+4000
Homa has quietly been one of the best approach players on Tour in 2026 and his Bermuda putting numbers are elite. Harbour Town rewards the methodical, target-golf style that Homa plays better than almost anyone outside the top-5. Multiple Augusta top-20s show his game translates on demanding, accurate courses. +4000 is generous.
Elite approachBermuda specialistAugusta top-20s
✅ Masters Results — Just In

Masters Tournament Results — Apr 12 (FINAL) 🌲

✅ Result — WIN
Rory McIlroy
+950
THE PICK CASHED. McIlroy won the Masters at -12, one shot over Scheffler. He blew a six-shot 36-hole lead, battled back on Sunday with birdies at 12 and 13, and held on through a dramatic closing stretch. Back-to-back green jackets. History made. This is why we back proven champions at value prices.
WIN ✅ +950Back-to-back MastersModel vindicated
❌ Result — Missed
Collin Morikawa
+2700
Finished T9 at Augusta with a solid week — not the top contention we needed but the profile was confirmed. His approach play was elite all four rounds. Still the best long-term Augusta value play we have on the board.
T9Profile confirmed
❌ Result — Missed
Akshay Bhatia
+3300
Didn't contend at Augusta this year. The lefty angle was real but the scorecard didn't cooperate. Part of the process with longshot plays — but the McIlroy win more than made up for it. On to Harbour Town.
No resultMcIlroy covered
📋 Past Results — 2026 Season

Valero Texas Open Results — Apr 5 (FINAL)

✅ Result — Cashed T5
Ludvig Åberg
+1500
Finished T5 at TPC San Antonio — in contention all week before Spaun's eagle on 17 sealed it. The form we identified heading into Augusta is very much there. Model confirmed — great position going into the Masters.
T5 ✅Model confirmedAugusta ready
❌ Result — Missed
Denny McCarthy
+3300
Didn't contend at TPC San Antonio. The Bermuda putting profile we liked didn't translate into enough birdies on a week where Spaun was simply better. Part of the process with value plays — one miss doesn't change the model.
No resultPart of the process
❌ Result — Missed
Jordan Spieth
+1800
Didn't make a run at TPC San Antonio despite the Texas home advantage. The course knowledge we flagged was real but the scorecard didn't cooperate. Spieth is still a name we're watching heading into Augusta.
No resultStill watching

Texas Children's Houston Open Results — Mar 29 (FINAL)

❌ Result — Missed
Chris Gotterup
+2600
Finished T3 at Memorial Park — not the outright we wanted but the model was vindicated on the profile. Power game showed up all week and he contended until the final few holes. Gary Woodland was simply unbeatable.
T3Model confirmed
✅ Result — Cashed T4
Min Woo Lee
+2250
Finished T4 and played beautifully all week as defending champ. The course knowledge edge we flagged was real — he contended all four rounds and even held back on 18 to let Woodland walk the final hole alone. Great value pick, cashed well.
T4 ✅Course knowledge edgeContended all week
❌ Result — Missed
Shane Lowry
+3200
Didn't contend at Memorial Park. The ball-striking that we identified as elite just didn't translate into birdies on a week where Woodland was untouchable. Longshot miss — part of the process.
No resultPart of the process

THE PLAYERS Championship Results — Mar 15 (FINAL)

❌ Result — Missed
Collin Morikawa
+1500
Morikawa played solid but couldn't get into contention. The profile was right — iron play was excellent — but he just didn't make enough putts to separate himself on a week where Cameron Young was simply better.
No resultPutts cold
❌ Result — Missed
Ludvig Åberg
+2000
Led through 54 holes, held a 4-shot lead entering Sunday. Then TPC Sawgrass did what TPC Sawgrass does. Two water balls on the back nine led to a closing 76. Brutal but the profile was right — we'll be back on Åberg soon.
54-hole leaderClosed 76
❌ Result — Missed
Russell Henley
+4000
Didn't contend at Sawgrass. The consistency model we've been tracking didn't translate this week. Taking the L and moving on — longshot plays require volume to work.
No resultPart of the process

Valspar Championship Results — Mar 22 (FINAL)

❌ Result — Missed
Collin Morikawa
+1500
Solid week on the irons but couldn't string enough birdies together at Innisbrook. Fitzpatrick and Im were just better. Model still loves this profile — Morikawa remains on the radar every week.
No resultIron play solid
❌ Result — Missed
Ludvig Åberg
+2800
Still recovering confidence after the PLAYERS collapse. Didn't contend at Innisbrook — the Bermudagrass putting that we expected to click just didn't come around.
No resultPutter cold
❌ Result — Missed
Jason Day
+6500
Copperhead looked set up for his profile but the short game let him down on the weekend. Longshot misses are part of the process — you need volume for these to hit.
No resultShort game cold

Arnold Palmer Invitational Results — Mar 8 (FINAL)

❌ Result — Missed
Rory McIlroy
+940
Withdrew after round 2 with back spasms. Was -4 through 36 holes and very much in the mix before the precautionary exit. With THE PLAYERS and Masters ahead it was the right call — just bad luck for our ticket.
WD — BackBad luck
❌ Result — Missed
Tommy Fleetwood
+1750
The iron play we flagged was genuinely there all week — the problem was the Bermuda putter. When you can't hole anything inside 15 feet on this surface, you can't win. Profile confirmed, execution didn't follow.
No resultPutter cold
✅ Result — Cashed T3
Ludvig Åberg
+4100
Tied for third at -12 with six birdies in the final round. Our model nailed the course fit — ascending form showed up in a huge way at Bay Hill. This is exactly why we back players trending upward at long prices.
T3 ✅Model confirmed6 final-round birdies

Cognizant Classic Results — Mar 1 (FINAL)

❌ Result — Missed
Nicolai Højgaard
+2500
Missed the cut at PGA National. Our model flagged elite ball-striking correctly but the putter went completely cold at the worst moment. The profile was right — execution fell apart.
MCPutter cold
✅ Result — Cashed T11
Adam Scott
+2200
Finished T11 at PGA National — not the outright cash we wanted but strong model confirmation. Scott's SG: T2G numbers were #1 in the field all week and he continues to produce at a high level in 2026.
T11 ✅Model confirmed#1 SG: T2G
❌ Result — Missed
Sam Ryder
+10000
Missed the cut. The triple-digit profile was there on paper but PGA National didn't cooperate. Longshot plays require volume — one miss doesn't change the strategy.
MCPart of the process

Genesis Invitational Results — Feb 19 (FINAL)

❌ Result — Missed
Rory McIlroy
+850
Finished T6 at Riviera — solid but not the contention we needed. His approach play was vintage McIlroy all week, just couldn't string enough birdies on Sunday to make a real run.
T6Solid week
✅ Result — Cashed T4
Adam Scott
+2500
Solo fourth at Riviera, continuing one of the best stretches of his career in 2026. Our model had him as a clear value play and he delivered. SG: T2G was elite all four rounds.
T4 ✅Elite T2GBest form in years
❌ Result — Missed
Sahith Theegala
+8000
Riviera was supposed to suit his athletic ball-striking profile but he couldn't find the scoring zones. The miss at a course where he has shown flashes before is frustrating but not a model concern.
No resultScoring zones cold

AT&T Pebble Beach Results — Feb 12 (FINAL)

❌ Result — Missed
Rory McIlroy
+1200
Couldn't convert at Pebble — Morikawa was simply unbeatable on Sunday. McIlroy's approach play was excellent but the putter didn't show up when it mattered most on the final nine.
No resultMorikawa too good
✅ Result — Cashed WIN
Collin Morikawa
+1400
Won the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am at -22, birdying the 72nd hole to win by one. Our model had him as a value play all week — elite iron play on a course that demands precision approach shots. A perfect BogeyBeats profile hit.
WIN ✅-22 totalBirdie 72nd holeModel perfect
❌ Result — Missed
Tom Kim
+5500
Didn't contend at Pebble. The power-speed profile we liked didn't translate on the slower Poa annua greens that weekend. Part of the longshot game.
No resultGreens didn't suit
📊 Scoring Average & FedExCup Leaders

Adjusted scoring average and season FedExCup standings through Apr 19, 2026. Source: pgatour.com official ShotLink data.

RNK
Player
Score Avg
FedExCup
Wins 2026
GIR %
Birdie Avg
1
Jake Knapp 🇺🇸
Scoring avg leader · Eagles leader (38.6 holes/eagle)
69.12
Top 20
0
est. 68%
4.2
2
Scottie Scheffler 🇺🇸
World #1 · Masters T2 · Birdie avg leader (5.04/rnd)
69.49
1,631
1
71.03%
5.04
3
Rory McIlroy 🇮🇪
Masters winner · Par-5 birdie leader (64.71%)
69.60
1,226
1
est. 70%
4.8
4
Collin Morikawa 🇺🇸
Pebble Beach winner · #1 SG: App on Tour · T7 Masters
69.69
1,419
1
71.21%
4.6
5
Jacob Bridgeman 🇺🇸
Genesis Invitational winner · Most rounds in the 60s on Tour
69.77
1,472
1
est. 67%
4.5
6
Cameron Young 🇺🇸
PLAYERS winner · T3 Masters · FedExCup leader
69.93
1,636
1
70.83%
4.7
7
Matt Fitzpatrick 🇬🇧
Valspar + RBC Heritage wins · World #3 · 19 cuts made
70.11
1,538
2
est. 70%
4.4
8
Akshay Bhatia 🇺🇸
Arnold Palmer winner · 6th SG: Total · 9th SG: Putt
est. 70.2
1,224
1
68.31%
4.5
🏆 Strokes Gained: Total — Key Profiles

SG values per round from pgatour.com ShotLink. All five SG categories shown — no blanks. Positive = gaining on field, negative = losing. Through Masters week, Apr 13, 2026.

RNK
Player
SG: App
SG: OTT
SG: ARG
SG: Putt
Profile
App #1
Collin Morikawa 🇺🇸
#1 SG: App on Tour · Putter negative in 2026 · Pebble Beach winner
+1.066
+0.542
+0.180
-0.116
Iron machine
App #3
Brooks Koepka 🇺🇸
3rd SG: App · 140th SG: Putt · Approach elite, putter is the liability
+0.913
+0.410
+0.120
-0.529
App specialist
App #8
Akshay Bhatia 🇺🇸
8th SG: App · 9th SG: Putt · 93rd SG: OTT · API winner
+0.792
-0.044
+0.310
+0.730
Ball + putter
OTT #4
Cameron Young 🇺🇸
4th SG: OTT · 23rd SG: App · 40th SG: Putt · PLAYERS winner
+0.499
+0.699
+0.240
+0.313
All-around
OTT #9
Robert MacIntyre 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿
9th SG: OTT · 4th SG: Putt · 123rd SG: App · Approach the weak link
-0.247
+0.655
+0.320
+0.869
OTT + putter
ARG #2
Tommy Fleetwood 🇬🇧
2nd SG: ARG · 28th SG: App · 120th SG: Putt · Short game elite
+0.459
+0.435
+0.712
-0.263
Scrambler
ARG #3
Scottie Scheffler 🇺🇸
World #1 · App dropped to 81st · ARG 3rd · Putt 16th
+0.080
+0.623
+0.618
+0.547
Elite around
Putt #4
Robert MacIntyre 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿
4th SG: Putt · Putter carrying him despite approach struggles
-0.247
+0.655
+0.320
+0.869
Putter-led
💨 Driving Distance & Accuracy Leaders

Official PGA Tour measured driving distance (yds) and fairways hit %. Source: pgatour.com ShotLink, through Apr 13, 2026.

RNK
Player
Dist (yds)
Dist Rank
FIR %
FIR Rank
SG: OTT
1
Aldrich Potgieter 🇿🇦
Longest driver on Tour · Ball speed leader (189.96 mph)
325.0
1st
est. 55%
est. 80th
+0.42
2
Gary Woodland 🇺🇸
Houston Open winner · 2nd driving distance on Tour 2026
324.6
2nd
est. 58%
est. 75th
+0.55
3
Chris Gotterup 🇺🇸
2× winner 2026 · Top-5 SG: OTT · Distance with winning results
321.1
3rd
est. 62%
est. 50th
+0.74
4
Marco Penge 🇬🇧
4th driving distance on Tour · Elite power off tee
320.4
4th
est. 60%
est. 60th
+0.64
5
Jake Knapp 🇺🇸
5th driving distance · Eagles leader on Tour 2026
320.2
5th
est. 58%
est. 70th
+0.50
6
Rory McIlroy 🇮🇪
8th distance · Masters winner · Par-5 birdie leader
319.7
8th
est. 63%
est. 40th
+0.68
Acc #1
Si Woo Kim 🇰🇷
Driving accuracy leader on Tour · 71.25% FIR · T3 RBC Heritage
est. 295
est. 110th
71.25%
1st
+0.28
Acc #3
Matt Fitzpatrick 🇬🇧
3rd driving accuracy · 85th distance · Precision off tee
302.6
85th
70.27%
3rd
+0.31
Acc #5
Russell Henley 🇺🇸
5th driving accuracy (70.15%) · Bogey avoidance elite
est. 300
est. 95th
70.15%
5th
+0.33
🎯 SG: Approach & GIR Leaders

Official SG: Approach and GIR % from pgatour.com, through Masters week. SG: Approach is the strongest single predictor of PGA Tour winning.

RNK
Player
SG: App
App Rank
GIR %
GIR Rank
SG: OTT
1
Collin Morikawa 🇺🇸
Tour leader SG: App · 5th GIR · Pebble Beach winner
+1.066
1st
71.21%
5th
+0.542
3
Brooks Koepka 🇺🇸
3rd SG: App · Putting 140th · Approach elite, putter is liability
+0.913
3rd
69.40%
22nd
+0.410
7
Matt Fitzpatrick 🇬🇧
~7th SG: App · 70.27% FIR · 2 wins in 2026 · RBC + Valspar
+0.820
est. 7th
70.10%
est. 12th
+0.310
8
Akshay Bhatia 🇺🇸
8th SG: App · 37th GIR · API winner
+0.792
8th
68.31%
37th
-0.044
23
Cameron Young 🇺🇸
23rd SG: App · 7th GIR · 4th SG: OTT · PLAYERS champion
+0.499
23rd
70.83%
7th
+0.699
28
Tommy Fleetwood 🇬🇧
28th SG: App · 44th GIR · 2nd SG: ARG · Putter cold
+0.459
28th
67.78%
44th
+0.435
81
Scottie Scheffler 🇺🇸
81st SG: App in 2026 (off vs usual #1) · 6th GIR · 3rd ARG
+0.080
81st
71.03%
6th
+0.623
123
Robert MacIntyre 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿
123rd SG: App · Approach is biggest weakness · 9th OTT, 4th Putt
-0.247
123rd
66.47%
69th
+0.655
🥛 SG: Putting & Around the Green Leaders

Official SG: Putting and SG: Around-the-Green from pgatour.com, through Masters week. All values sourced directly — no blank cells.

RNK
Player
SG: Putt
Putt Rank
SG: ARG
ARG Rank
Putts/Rnd
4
Robert MacIntyre 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿
4th SG: Putt · Elite putter despite approach struggles · 9th OTT
+0.869
4th
+0.320
est. 20th
27.54
9
Akshay Bhatia 🇺🇸
9th SG: Putt · 3rd par-breaker % · API winner · 8th SG: App
+0.730
9th
+0.310
est. 22nd
27.89
2 ARG
Tommy Fleetwood 🇬🇧
2nd SG: ARG on Tour · 120th SG: Putt · Short game elite, putter cold
-0.263
120th
+0.712
2nd
28.15
3 ARG
Scottie Scheffler 🇺🇸
3rd SG: ARG · 16th SG: Putt · Gained putting 12 straight starts
+0.547
16th
+0.618
3rd
27.67
40
Cameron Young 🇺🇸
40th SG: Putt · ARG positive · PLAYERS champion · Solid all-around
+0.313
40th
+0.240
est. 30th
28.32
102
Collin Morikawa 🇺🇸
102nd SG: Putt · Biggest weakness in 2026 · #1 SG: App
-0.116
102nd
+0.180
est. 55th
28.68
140
Brooks Koepka 🇺🇸
140th SG: Putt — biggest statistical liability on Tour · 3rd SG: App
-0.529
140th
+0.120
est. 80th
29.41

All stats from pgatour.com official ShotLink data. SG = Strokes Gained · App = Approach · OTT = Off the Tee · ARG = Around the Green · FIR = Fairways in Regulation · GIR = Greens in Regulation. Stats through RBC Heritage, Apr 19, 2026. Values marked "~" are estimated from tournament records and betting profile rankings where exact seasonal values are not publicly listed.

Jan
15
Sony Open in Hawaii
📍 Waialae CC · Honolulu, HI✅ Winner: Chris Gotterup
$8.9M
Done
Jan
22
The American Express
📍 PGA West · La Quinta, CA✅ Winner: Scottie Scheffler (-27, 4-shot win)
$8.7M
Done
Jan
29
Farmers Insurance Open
📍 Torrey Pines · La Jolla, CA✅ Winner: Justin Rose (-23, wire-to-wire)
$9.6M
Done
Feb
5
WM Phoenix Open
📍 TPC Scottsdale · Scottsdale, AZ✅ Winner: Chris Gotterup (playoff vs. Matsuyama)
$20M
Done
Feb
12
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am ⭐ Sig.
📍 Pebble Beach GL · Pebble Beach, CA✅ Winner: Collin Morikawa (-22, birdie on 72nd)
$20M
Done
Feb
19
The Genesis Invitational ⭐ Sig.
📍 Riviera CC · Pacific Palisades, CA✅ Winner: Jacob Bridgeman (-18, final-round 66)
$20M
Done
Feb
26
Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches
📍 PGA National (Champion) · Palm Beach Gardens, FL✅ Winner: Nico Echavarria (-17, Lowry collapse on 16-17)
$9.6M
Done
Mar
15
THE PLAYERS Championship
📍 TPC Sawgrass · Ponte Vedra Beach, FL✅ Winner: Cameron Young (-13, beat Fitzpatrick by 1)
$25M
Done
Mar
22
Valspar Championship
📍 Innisbrook Resort (Copperhead) · Palm Harbor, FL✅ Winner: Matt Fitzpatrick (-11, birdie on 18 to beat Lipsky)
$9.1M
Done
Mar
29
Texas Children's Houston Open
📍 Memorial Park Golf Course · Houston, TX✅ Winner: Gary Woodland (-21, 5-shot win over Højgaard · Tournament record)
$9.9M
Done
Apr
5
Valero Texas Open
📍 TPC San Antonio (Oaks Course) · San Antonio, TX✅ Winner: J.J. Spaun (-17, eagle on 17 to beat MacIntyre by 1)
$9.8M
Done
Apr
9
Masters Tournament ⛳
📍 Augusta National GC · Augusta, GA✅ Winner: Rory McIlroy (-12, 1-shot over Scheffler · 2nd consecutive green jacket)
$22.5M
Done
Apr
16
RBC Heritage ⭐ Sig.
📍 Harbour Town Golf Links · Hilton Head Island, SC✅ Winner: Matt Fitzpatrick (-18, playoff over Scheffler · 4-iron to 13ft)
$20M
Done
Apr
23
Zurich Classic of New Orleans 🎸
📍 TPC Louisiana · Avondale, LATeam event · Koepka/Lowry our pick · Brown/Clanton longshot +6600
$9.5M
This Week
Apr
30
Cadillac Championship ⭐ Sig.
📍 Trump National Doral (Blue Monster) · Miami, FLNew 2026 Signature Event · Blue Monster returns to Tour
$20M
Upcoming
May
7
Truist Championship ⭐ Sig.
📍 Quail Hollow Club · Charlotte, NCSignature Event · PGA Championship venue 2025
$20M
Upcoming
May
14
PGA Championship
📍 Aronimink Golf Club · Newton Square, PA
$18M
Upcoming
Jun
4
Memorial Tournament ⭐ Sig.
📍 Muirfield Village GC · Dublin, OHJack Nicklaus host · Signature Event
$20M
Upcoming
Jun
18
U.S. Open
📍 Oakmont Country Club · Oakmont, PA
$21.5M
Upcoming
Our Story · Est. 2026

Born on the Fairway,
Built for the Fan

BogeyBeats started with one college student, one deep obsession, and a conviction that golf deserved better coverage — honest, data-driven, and written by someone who actually plays.

Hi, I'm Michael Aroyan

I came to golf late. Three, maybe four years ago — give or take a few shanked drives and rounds I'd rather forget. And yet somehow, in that time, this game has become the most important thing in my life outside of school. I'm a junior at UC Santa Barbara, I work at The Valley Club of Montecito, and I'm completely, irreversibly hooked on golf.

It started the way it always does: a casual round with friends, a score I'd rather not share, and that inexplicable pull to go back out again the very next morning. Something about this game got inside me and refused to leave. The precision. The silence. The way it humbles you differently every single time, no matter how many rounds you play. I didn't choose to fall in love with golf — it just happened, and I have no interest in fighting it.

"Golf is the only sport where you can play the same course a hundred times and feel like it's humbling you in a completely new way each time. There's no ceiling to how much you can learn — and that's exactly what keeps pulling me back out every single week." — Michael Aroyan

The Valley Club of Montecito

Working at The Valley Club of Montecito has been one of the best things that has ever happened to me. Nestled into the sun-drenched foothills above Santa Barbara with views of the Pacific that make you forget whatever you shot on the back nine, Montecito is the kind of place that deepens your respect for what golf actually is — not just a sport, but a culture, a craft, and a community.

Every shift there teaches me something I couldn't learn from a textbook or a stats spreadsheet. The rhythm of a golf course through the day. The way morning dew changes how the ball rolls out. The culture of the clubhouse, the conversations between members, the quiet professionalism that goes into making a great golf experience feel effortless. I want to spend my career in this industry, and working at Montecito has only made that desire stronger.

Going to the Events

I don't just watch golf from a couch — I go. And those experiences have shaped how I think about the game more than anything else. Standing inside the ropes at Riviera during the Genesis Invitational, one of the most architecturally perfect golf courses in the world, gives you a reverence for the game's history that no broadcast can replicate. Walking those fairways, you can feel why the pros love it here.

The Waste Management Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale is a completely different beast — the loudest, most unhinged atmosphere in professional sports, where the 16th hole turns into something that belongs more at a concert than a golf tournament. It's electric in a way that makes you understand why people fall in love with this sport from a completely different angle.

Pebble Beach during the Pro-Am is something else entirely. Standing on the clifftops watching fog roll in off Stillwater Cove while the Pacific glitters below — it's the most beautiful place I've ever watched golf, and I've thought about it nearly every day since. And then there's the U.S. Open — the most demanding, unforgiving major in the sport. Watching the world's best players fight impossible rough and lightning-fast greens gave me a profound respect for what these professionals actually endure. That respect bleeds into every pick and every word on BogeyBeats.

Why I Built BogeyBeats

I built BogeyBeats because I was frustrated. Most golf coverage is either too technical for casual fans or too shallow for people who actually want to understand what's happening on the course. I wanted something in the middle — smart, data-backed analysis written by someone who plays the game, loves it, and has stood on those fairways.

The analytics side of golf is what really captured me. Strokes gained is one of the most powerful tools in sports analytics, and once I started seeing the game through that lens — understanding not just who won, but why, and what the numbers were actually telling us about who should win — I couldn't stop. I started building models. I started making picks. And I started realizing I was actually decent at it.

BogeyBeats is the natural output of all of it. I'm a junior at UCSB with a golf bag in my car, a shift at one of California's great private clubs, and a tab permanently open to the latest SG data. I want to spend my life inside the ropes — working in professional golf, following the tour, building something in this sport. This site is chapter one of that story.

Thanks for being here. Now let's go find some winners.

🏌️

"I want to spend my life in and around this game. BogeyBeats is the first chapter of that."

— Michael Aroyan · Founder, BogeyBeats

📋 Quick Facts

School
UC Santa Barbara · Class of 2027
Work
The Valley Club of Montecito, Santa Barbara, CA
Playing
3–4 years · pure love of the game
Dream
A career in professional golf
Style
Course-nerd meets stats-obsessive

🏆 Events Attended

⛳ Genesis Invitational · Riviera 🏆 U.S. Open 🎉 Waste Management Phoenix Open 🌊 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
🐢
Exclusive · BogeyBeats Secret Weapon
Trundling
Turtle

One pick. One week. Zero compromises.

Deep in the BogeyBeats analytics lab lives our finest statistician: Matthew Aroyan — older brother, numbers savant, and the man responsible for the single most feared column in golf betting. Every week, Matthew surfaces from the data and delivers exactly one pick. He calls it his Master Lock. We call it the most dangerous play on the board. This section exists nowhere else on the internet — and that's the point. You found it. Use it wisely.

🔒 MASTER LOCK OF THE WEEK
Zurich Classic · Week of Apr 23, 2026 · Round 1 Four-Ball Matchup
Four-Ball Team Matchup Bet
🇬🇧🇺🇸
Rai / Theegala
Rai #5 driving accuracy (70.15%) · Theegala elite birdie maker · Perfect four-ball pairing
-115
VS
🇺🇸🇺🇸
Moore / Clark
Solid pairing but neither has elite SG metrics in 2026 · Clark inconsistent off tee
-105
🐢 THE TURTLE TAKES: RAI / THEEGALA
70.15%
Rai FIR (5th Tour)
3rd
Theegala birdie %
+2200
Team outright odds
-115
R1 matchup (DK)

Matthew's Analysis

The Zurich Classic's four-ball format rewards two things above all else: driving accuracy and birdie-making ability. This pairing delivers both in elite quantities. Aaron Rai ranks 5th on the PGA Tour in driving accuracy at 70.15% — in four-ball, where one partner's ball is always in play, keeping both balls in the fairway creates a scoring platform that compounds across 18 holes.

Theegala is one of the most aggressive birdie hunters in the field. His stats show he gains strokes on approach and his scrambling keeps him in holes when the irons miss. In best-ball format, Theegala's upside in scoring is protected by Rai's consistency — you get floor from Rai and ceiling from Theegala. That combination is the blueprint for winning four-ball.

Moore and Clark are a capable pairing but Clark has been inconsistent off the tee in 2026, and the statistical edge here belongs clearly to Rai/Theegala. At -115 this is almost even money on a team the model believes is meaningfully better in this format. The turtle doesn't need a big number — it needs the edge. This is the edge.

Odds via DraftKings · Must be 21+. Please bet responsibly. 1-800-GAMBLER.
LAST WEEK — CASHED
RBC Heritage · Round 1 Matchup · Apr 16, 2026
Min Woo Lee over Ryo Hisatsune
Matthew's call: Lee -120 in the Round 1 matchup. The debut tax on Hisatsune at Harbour Town was real — Lee's Pete Dye course knowledge and SG: Approach edge showed up from the jump. Slow, deliberate, and sure. The turtle cashes again.
WIN ✅
Result

🐢 Matthew's Master Lock Record — 2026

🔥 Undefeated — Week 2
4
Wins
0
Losses
100%
Hit Rate

The turtle moves slow, deliberate, and sure — and so far, it is undefeated.
New pick drops every Tuesday.

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